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Probability Update

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U.S. Q3 GDP: Market Surges to 74% | ProbGap Update

Sep 23, 2026

•

2 min read

U.S. Q3 GDP: Market Surges to 74% | ProbGap Update

The market has jumped from 51% to 74% on U.S. Q3 GDP growth of at least 3%. ProbGap's latest forecast remains 64%. What changed?

ProbGap Research
ProbGap Research

ProbGap

Independent forecasts that challenge prediction-market consensus.

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