Prediction Markets
+4
Sep 18, 2026
•
2 min read
Prediction markets put another 25 bp Fed hike at 51%. Our forecast is 61% — leaving a 10-point gap.
GDP
1 min read
Prediction markets put the odds of ≥3.0% Q3 growth at 51%. Our forecast is 64% — leaving a 13-point gap.
