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Diplomacy

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U.S.–Iran Talks by September 30? The Market Says Just 14%

Sep 22, 2026

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2 min read

U.S.–Iran Talks by September 30? The Market Says Just 14%

Trump has opened the door to meeting Iran’s president as both leaders gather in New York. The market says 14%. ProbGap puts the chance at 24%.

ProbGap Research
ProbGap Research

ProbGap

Independent forecasts that challenge prediction-market consensus.

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