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Canada–EU “Associate Membership” Is Priced at 65%. We Think That’s Too High.

Sep 18, 2026

•

2 min read

Canada–EU “Associate Membership” Is Priced at 65%. We Think That’s Too High.

The announcement is real. The legal status isn’t. Our forecast is 38%.

ProbGap Research
ProbGap Research

ProbGap

Independent forecasts that challenge prediction-market consensus.

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