GDP
+5
Oct 1, 2026
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1 min read
The market has climbed from 51% to 70%. ProbGap remains at 64%.
+3
Sep 27, 2026
The market was at 51% when we published. Today it is at 73% — moving from 13 points below ProbGap to 9 points above it.
+4
Sep 18, 2026
Prediction markets put the odds of ≥3.0% Q3 growth at 51%. Our forecast is 64% — leaving a 13-point gap.