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US Q3 GDP: The Market Is Moving — But Has It Moved Enough?

Sep 18, 2026

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1 min read

US Q3 GDP: The Market Is Moving — But Has It Moved Enough?

Prediction markets put the odds of ≥3.0% Q3 growth at 51%. Our forecast is 64% — leaving a 13-point gap.

ProbGap Research
ProbGap Research

ProbGap

Independent forecasts that challenge prediction-market consensus.

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