Saudi Arabia

Prediction Markets

The Pipeline Is Exporting Oil. The Market Still Says 18%.

Sep 28, 2026

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2 min read

The Pipeline Is Exporting Oil. The Market Still Says 18%.

The physical restart has happened. The prediction market is waiting for something else — an official Saudi government announcement.

ProbGap Research

Prediction Markets

The Pipeline Is Pumping. The Market Still Says 36%.

Sep 25, 2026

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2 min read

The Pipeline Is Pumping. The Market Still Says 36%.

Saudi Arabia’s East–West Pipeline has restarted. But this prediction market needs something else: an official government announcement.

ProbGap Research

Prediction Markets

Saudi Pipeline Is Reportedly Running Again — But the Market Is Still at 30%

Sep 22, 2026

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2 min read

Saudi Pipeline Is Reportedly Running Again — But the Market Is Still at 30%

Reuters says crude is already flowing through the East–West Pipeline. But the prediction market requires an official Saudi announcement. We’re raising our forecast from 48% to 72%.

ProbGap Research

Energy

Saudi Pipeline Odds Collapse to 35% — We’re Cutting Our Forecast

Sep 20, 2026

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3 min read

Saudi Pipeline Odds Collapse to 35% — We’re Cutting Our Forecast

New damage assessments and fresh attacks around Yanbu have changed the picture. ProbGap cuts its forecast from 64% to 48% — but still sees a +13-point gap.

ProbGap Research

Energy