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Saudi Arabia

Energy

+2

Saudi Pipeline Update: Market Jumps Past Our 64% Forecast

Sep 16, 2026

•

1 min read

Saudi Pipeline Update: Market Jumps Past Our 64% Forecast

Polymarket has surged to 67% for a restart by September 30 — effectively closing, and now slightly reversing, our original +17 point gap.

ProbGap Research
ProbGap Research

Energy

+3

Saudi Pipeline Restart by September 30? ProbGap Sees a +17 Point Gap

Sep 16, 2026

•

2 min read

Saudi Pipeline Restart by September 30? ProbGap Sees a +17 Point Gap

The market puts a restart near 47%. ProbGap forecasts 64% — because partial operation is enough to resolve the contract Yes.

ProbGap Research
ProbGap Research

ProbGap

Independent forecasts that challenge prediction-market consensus.

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